The property tax pilot expansion, and it is expected that the news mainly for incremental collection will once again cause public concern. On May 20, the reporter learned from the sources close to the Ministry of Housing and Construction that the Ministry of Housing and Construction, the State Administration of Taxation and the relevant departments of the Ministry of Finance have formed a special agency to prepare for the pilot expansion of the property tax and comprehensive investigation.
"As part of the reform of the local fiscal and taxation system, this year is likely to launch the second batch of real estate tax pilot cities, but the specific idea will be slow and slow." According to another source close to the Ministry of Housing and Construction.
The reporter learned that the highly anticipated Hangzhou version of the property tax pilot program was originally planned to be launched in early May, and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is also aware of this. However, due to various reasons, the Hangzhou version of the property tax pilot program was postponed. The reason is that the property tax is levied and how it is levied. The parties are still controversial.
Our reporter learned from three different sources of sources that the research on the long-term mechanism for real estate regulation has been deployed after the end of the 18th National Congress last year. The results of this survey will become an important reference for the next decision of real estate regulation. The so-called long-term mechanism is a reform plan with the real estate tax as the core.
The pilot is “locally voluntaryâ€
In January of this year, the property tax began to be tested in Shanghai and Chongqing. There have been many rumors in the second batch of cities that have been included in the pilot. Hangzhou is the city with the most rumors of the second batch of property tax pilot expansion.
At the beginning of April this year, Hangzhou Square was rumored to be “Hangzhou Real Estate Tax is about to be leviedâ€. The content of the pilot project for property tax circulated in Hangzhou is: April 26, Hangzhou issued rules; from May 1, Hangzhou, as the second batch of real estate tax pilot cities, began to levy property tax. The specific rules will refer to the Shanghai model: per capita tax-free area of ​​60 square meters, per capita 60 square meters of Pudong 4, luxury homes 8 miles, the second set of households, the stock is exempt.
However, the Hangzhou property tax in this rumor has not arrived as scheduled.
Zhang Zhijie, chief analyst of the China Index Research Institute in Hangzhou, told reporters that according to his contact with the local government departments, "the Hangzhou version of the property tax does have a plan, but because the relevant parties have objections to the plan, it has not been launched."
“Hangzhou itself didn’t think much about it, but because of the requirements of the relevant parties, it made a plan. But from the content of the rumors, Hangzhou chose a less difficult incremental collection method. From this point of view, the property was introduced. The tax plan is not a voluntary act of local governments.†Zhang Zhijie introduced.
Wang Chaocai, deputy director of the Institute of Fiscal Science of the Ministry of Finance, told reporters that the second batch of property tax pilot expansion is basically based on local government voluntary. For the rumored property tax pilot levy program mainly emulates the Shanghai model, the dynasty believes that this has its possibilities. Incremental housing as the main object of collection can be realized in the transaction link, which is easier to control, and the collection of the stock room needs further evaluation. The former is less difficult for local governments.
Zhang Zhijie believes that the expansion of the property tax pilot must be the final result of the game between the parties. If the central and local views are different, or the local internal opinions are not uniform, it will be difficult to launch. Zhang believes that, in fact, local governments are currently reluctant to push property taxes.
In the final rumor, the Hangzhou version of the property tax plan, as seen by the public, is still difficult to produce. However, the news has stimulated the increase in the volume of residential, especially luxury, residential properties in Hangzhou in April and May. According to local media reports, many local developers in Hangzhou accelerated the push. On the weekend of mid-April, more than 20 properties were opened for sale. In the week before the May 1st holiday, more than 10 properties were opened, and 3 properties were on the eve of April 26, opening overnight.
According to Zhang Zhijie’s monitoring, most of the luxury residential projects in Hangzhou were “selling very well†in April due to the rumored Hangzhou property tax collection method.
According to rumors, in the second batch of real estate tax pilot cities, the “named†design property tax pilot cities include Qingdao, Nanjing, Shenzhen and the long-rumored Hubei Ezhou.
However, as of press time, the reporter has not been able to confirm the news from the authoritative department.
Yang Hongxu, deputy dean of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, said in an interview that the expansion of the real estate tax pilot city this year is normal. The main reasons are: First, it has been clarified in the five articles of the country; secondly, from the data reflected by the National Bureau of Statistics, the housing prices in some cities have indeed risen too fast.
Yang said that at present, the pressure on housing prices in first- and second-tier cities is still relatively large, and the expansion of the property tax pilot has psychological expectations for housing prices.
Expansion will be easy first and then difficult
The expansion of the local property tax pilot is not the same as the full implementation of the national property tax.
"The pilot expansion is very likely, but there is still no news of the comprehensive levy." The dynasty said that the news he learned was that the relevant departments at the central level were still investigating.
An article published by Xinhua News Agency on May 13 revealed that "the reporter learned that the investigation of the 'long-term mechanism' is proceeding in an orderly manner. The industry believes that this is the 'key trick' of the current government's property market regulation."
Our reporter learned from three different sources of sources that the research on the long-term mechanism for real estate regulation has been deployed after the end of the 18th National Congress last year. The results of this survey will become an important reference for the next decision of real estate regulation. The so-called long-term mechanism is a reform plan with the real estate tax as the core.
Property tax has been a concern as part of a long-term mechanism. As far as the previous pilots are concerned, the Shanghai plan is only for incremental collection, and Chongqing is mainly for high-end housing.
Yang Hongxu believes that if the pilot cities follow the Shanghai or Chongqing model, the tax base is narrow and the tax rate is low, which is obviously not big enough. However, the reform requires a gradual process, and it will be difficult to make it easy. If the increase is first imposed, the resistance will be reduced.
In addition, according to the above-mentioned sources of the Ministry of Finance, the expansion of the real estate tax pilot city will be difficult and difficult, and this depends to a large extent on the enthusiasm of the local government.
Yang Hongxu also pointed out that the pilot program for property tax will be Temporary, and the general direction must be nationwide for the housing market.
Chen Zhi, secretary general of the Beijing Real Estate Association, believes that whether the property tax is pushed at the national level may depend on the macroeconomic operation data of June this year. "If the macroeconomic operation is not good, the property tax may be slowed down."
“Put the property tax impact on expectations. When we conducted the internal analysis in April, we concluded that the impact of real estate on the macro economy should be neutral. If it is negative or worse, the conditions will not allow it to introduce stagflation and increase confrontation. The reform is not good.†Chen Zhi believes that the first half of July should be a window period, which is also a road, and the macro needs to look at the external environment and monetary policy. In short, the implementation of reforms must see a dilemma in many policies.
However, Chen Zhi judged that from a fundamental point of view, the property tax pilot will still be implemented slowly.
Real estate registration system paving road
Chen Zhi also pointed out that some disputes over property taxes also need to be considered. For example, what is the property tax? Chen Zhi believes that to promote the property tax, if the tax system is not changed, it may be difficult to obtain public opinion support. It is difficult to reduce people's tax burden without adjusting the tax structure, and it is difficult to regulate the distribution of income.
Yang Jiejie, a professor at the Department of Land Management at Zhejiang University, expressed disagreement over the comprehensive introduction of property tax.
"The property tax should not be levied yet. It is still too early to discuss. Property tax is a property tax in foreign countries, and China's commercial housing has only 70 years of property rights. The owner does not have the permanent property rights of the house. In this case, 70 years to After the period of land appreciation, it is still unclear. It is still too early to discuss the means of property tax collection."
One kind of levy proposal that the industry agrees with is that the comprehensive levy of property tax should be based on the third set of household levy and the cumulative tax rate should be implemented. The program is mainly aimed at combating multiple suite holders. In addition, property tax should be levied at the same time as the implementation of structural tax cuts to ensure that the tax burden index of residents has decreased, at least not increased.
Despite the controversy, technical preparations for the property tax are still in progress.
Hu Cunzhi, deputy minister of the Ministry of Land and Resources, publicly stated on May 16 that this year's 12th National People's Congress deliberated and passed the "Regulations on the Reform and Functional Transformation of the State Council" to reduce the division and dispersion of departmental responsibilities. The responsibilities of housing registration, forest land registration, grassland registration, and land registration shall be undertaken by one department and further clarified. The Ministry of Land and Resources and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development shall be responsible for the Ministry of Justice, the State Administration of Taxation and other relevant departments. Before the end of June 2014 Introduce real estate registration regulations and implement a unified registration system for real estate.
In addition, Qi Hao, deputy director of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, recently stated that housing information networking in 40 cities has been completed. According to the deployment of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, by the end of this year, cities above the prefecture level should be connected.
Obviously, the networked information system and the unified registration system for real estate have prepared sufficient technical conditions for the comprehensive introduction of property tax.
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